Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.0% | 47.0% | -0.7 | ✗ (20.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +20 (77-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Thompson | 37 | 9-19 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 3 | - |
| M. Robinson | 30 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| C. Ferguson | 30 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| K. Anderson | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| N. Howard | 26 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Rosier | 16 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Emani Burks | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Rachel Leggett | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Z. Elias | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Naomi Smitherman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Taylor | 34 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| D. Hood | 34 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| J. Bowie | 29 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Eaton | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| L. Thompson | 24 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| T. Pruitt | 17 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Reed | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| S. Dickson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Claybrooks | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Brooks | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Leff | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Hill | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter