Model Predictions
| Model | UC San Diego Tritons | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.5% | 5.5% | -15.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -17 (43-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC San Diego Tritons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Cangelosi | 35 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 15 | - |
| I. Forsyth | 30 | 6-10 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| J. Macabuhay | 28 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| M. Baxter | 25 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. Brown | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| B. Mullings | 17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| G. Talbot | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| G. Louther | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Springs | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| P. Montgomery | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Mahan | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Thompson | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bourland | 37 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| A. Shah | 36 | 1-11 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Anousinh | 33 | 2-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -3 | - |
| M. Willett | 32 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| T. Wu | 28 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Natalia Ackerman | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Nielacna | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| A. Stajic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Karlin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter