Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 80.7% | 19.3% | -7.9 | ✗ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +2 (49-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bryant | 36 | 5-9 | - | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | |
| R. Walters | 35 | 4-8 | -2 | - | 2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | |||
| P. Atchley | 33 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | -1 | ||||
| J. Webster | 31 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -1 | |
| A. Blount | 24 | 5-10 | - | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 |
| J. Stenberg | 21 | -3 | -2 | - | 1 | -2 | |||||
| Z. Tillery | 13 | -3 | -1 | - | 1 | 1 | -1 | ||||
| M. Finau | 7 | -2 | - | - | 2 | 1 | -1 |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Willett | 34 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | |
| A. Shah | 30 | 4-10 | -1 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 8 | ||
| J. Dickson | 28 | 3-7 | 2-4 | - | 5 | 1 | 8 | 7 | |||
| O. Toure | 26 | 4-7 | - | - | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | ||
| S. Bourland | 25 | -3 | - | - | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| J. Anousinh | 22 | 1-2 | -1 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |||
| T. Wu | 20 | - | - | -2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | ||
| M. Garcia | 11 | 1-4 | - | - | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | |||
| N. Ackerman | 4 | - | - | - | 2 | 2 |
* = starter