Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Wagner Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.1% | 89.9% | +12.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wagner Seahawks +15 (72-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ward | 40 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Aaliyah Moore | 35 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Filippa Goula | 32 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Semaya Turner | 25 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -3 | - |
| S. Miller | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jade Campbell | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Layla Laws | 18 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Maria McConnell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Julianna Gibson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Thybulle | 37 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| A. Cowan | 34 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Julia Fabozzi | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. Heyward | 27 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Angelie Ricard | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Malia Mpondo | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Rakisha Ballinger | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Nwabudu | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| C. Dyke | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Finley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Etuka | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter