Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Merrimack Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.3% | 88.7% | +13.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.1% | 82.9% | +8.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Merrimack Warriors +18 (80-62). Ratings: 2022-23 season-end ratings.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Destini Ward * | 32 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Aaliyah Moore * | 31 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Filippa Goula * | 30 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Adison Novosel * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sam Miller * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Semaya Turner | 26 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Jade Campbell | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Julianna Gibson | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Maria McConnell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Harris Robinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marissa Shelton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayme DeCesare * | 34 | 9-16 | 6-11 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 22 | - |
| Diamond Christian * | 32 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Kaylee Thomas * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Marissa Hamilton * | 27 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Amaya Staton * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Ava Owens | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Lydia Melaschenko | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Jada Powell | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Molly Manion | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter