Model Predictions
| Model | Merrimack Warriors | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.0% | 32.0% | -4.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves -2 (65-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. DeCesare | 39 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| K. Thomas | 38 | 5-12 | 4-6 | 8-8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 20 | - |
| D. Christian | 33 | 4-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Amaya Staton | 27 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Bray | 18 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Fursman | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Hamilton | 16 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 4-7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. Powell | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| L. Melaschenko | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Miller | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Filippa Goula | 33 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 8 | - |
| D. Ward | 31 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Aaliyah Moore | 30 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Semaya Turner | 28 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Adison Novosel | 26 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Jade Campbell | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Julianna Gibson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Maria McConnell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter