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2023-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Central Connecticut Blue Devils Saint Francis Red Wolves Spread Result
Elo 23.3% 76.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 36.0% 64.0% - โœ“
Margin 53.9% 46.1% -0.9 โœ— (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 74.3% 25.7% - โœ—
Efficiency 77.9% 22.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 68.2% 31.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 68.4% 31.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 50.8% 49.2% - โœ—

Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves +6 (63-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Central Connecticut Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Toppin 38 2-13 0-1 3-3 2 5 5 1 4 7 3 -
Belle Lanpher 37 6-13 0-2 3-3 1 1 2 0 1 15 5 -
Meghan Kenefick 36 5-10 3-6 0-0 5 1 3 0 3 13 9 -
Dejah Jenkins 36 7-15 1-5 1-1 5 0 0 0 1 16 5 -
Lara Rohkohl 29 1-3 0-0 2-3 4 1 0 0 3 4 3 -
T. Brown 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 2 2 -
A. Sentance 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
A. Napoli 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
E. Bruen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Saint Francis Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Filippa Goula 35 4-10 2-3 0-0 7 5 1 0 3 10 10 -
S. Miller 32 5-10 0-0 0-0 12 1 0 2 0 10 15 -
D. Ward 32 1-6 0-3 5-6 7 4 1 0 3 7 10 -
Aaliyah Moore 27 4-9 0-0 1-1 6 0 1 0 4 9 3 -
Layla Laws 26 2-10 1-2 1-2 6 2 2 1 3 6 4 -
Adison Novosel 22 4-4 4-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 12 9 -
Semaya Turner 19 3-7 0-0 1-1 2 2 3 1 7 7 1 -
Maria McConnell 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Jade Campbell 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter