Model Predictions
| Model | Wagner Seahawks | Merrimack Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 10.4% | 89.6% | +11.8 | ✗ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Merrimack Warriors -6 (63-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Cowan | 38 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 10-10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Z. Thybulle | 33 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | - |
| D. Heyward | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Sanchez-Henry | 26 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| K. Nwabudu | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -3 | - |
| J. Fabozzi | 25 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| R. Ballinger | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Ricard | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Mpondo | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Dyke | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. DeCesare | 39 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 8-8 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| D. Christian | 35 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | - |
| L. Melaschenko | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Bray | 24 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| J. Powell | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8 | - |
| A. Staton | 20 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| A. Owens | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Manion | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Fursman | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter