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Saint Francis Red Wolves 60
@
Central Connecticut Blue Devils 64
2023-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Saint Francis Red Wolves Central Connecticut Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 62.3% 37.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 50.0% 50.0% - ✓
Margin 27.4% 72.6% +5.4 ✓ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 19.7% 80.3% - ✓
Efficiency 16.1% 83.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 25.8% 74.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 25.6% 74.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 36.0% 64.0% - ✓

Actual: Central Connecticut Blue Devils +4 (64-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Francis Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaliyah Moore 38 5-9 0-0 1-2 12 2 2 0 3 11 15 -
Layla Laws 32 1-5 0-2 7-10 4 3 0 0 4 9 7 -
Adison Novosel 29 3-9 2-8 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 8 0 -
Filippa Goula 29 1-3 0-0 6-6 5 3 1 0 4 8 10 -
S. Miller 27 3-8 0-0 2-4 4 2 0 0 0 8 6 -
Semaya Turner 22 4-7 2-3 2-4 0 0 0 1 2 12 4 -
D. Ward 18 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Maria McConnell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jade Campbell 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Central Connecticut Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Meghan Kenefick 38 1-3 0-0 1-2 10 1 0 1 2 3 10 -
Dejah Jenkins 33 4-11 3-4 8-10 3 1 3 0 1 19 14 -
Belle Lanpher 31 6-9 1-1 1-2 2 3 0 0 0 14 10 -
F. Toppin 31 2-12 0-4 5-6 3 0 2 0 4 9 -2 -
Lara Rohkohl 26 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 1 4 4 1 -
Amaya Williams 13 2-4 0-1 3-3 1 1 0 0 1 7 4 -
A. Napoli 9 2-4 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
T. Brown 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Sentance 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
E. Bruen 5 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter