Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.3% | 28.7% | -5.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Efficiency | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -6 (81-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ra'Heim Moss * | 37 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| R. Dennis * | 36 | 12-20 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 22 | - |
| S. Millner Jr. * | 36 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| JT Shumate * | 34 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| D. Maddox Jr. * | 34 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| E.J. Farmer | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| AJ Edu | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Andre Lorentsson | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demarius Jacobs * | 38 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jaylin Sellers * | 35 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Payton Sparks * | 30 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 25 | - |
| Mickey Pearson Jr. * | 28 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Luke Bumbalough * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Basheer Jihad | 19 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Kaiyem Cleary | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jalen Windham | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter