Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.1% | 85.9% | +9.9 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +21 (93-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Turner * | 29 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Kaden Metheny * | 26 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Brenton Mills * | 26 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Leon Ayers III * | 22 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Sam Towns * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Samari Curtis | 28 | 7-13 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Isaac Elsasser | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| U. Etim | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Gabe O'Neal | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Rashaun Agee | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Anthony McComb III | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Madani Diarra | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mickey Pearson Jr. * | 28 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Demarius Jacobs * | 28 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jarron Coleman * | 27 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Payton Sparks * | 24 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Jaylin Sellers * | 24 | 5-7 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Luke Bumbalough | 26 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Basheer Jihad | 23 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Kaiyem Cleary | 13 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Ben Hendriks | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Jack Futa | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter