Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.9 | ✗ (12.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons -9 (60-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Coleman * | 39 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| P. Sparks * | 30 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | - |
| J. Sellers * | 30 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| D. Jacobs * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| M. Pearson Jr. * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| B. Jihad | 20 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| L. Bumbalough | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Windham | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Metheny * | 36 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| B. Mills * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| L. Ayers III * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| C. Turner * | 34 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| S. Towns * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Agee | 20 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| G. O'Neal | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| I. Elsasser | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. McComb III | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter