Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 12.5% | 87.5% | +10.7 | ✗ (17.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets -7 (83-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarron Coleman * | 36 | 9-18 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 9 | - |
| Jaylin Sellers * | 34 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Payton Sparks * | 30 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Mickey Pearson Jr. * | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Demarius Jacobs * | 24 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Basheer Jihad | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Jalen Windham | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Darian Owens-White | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Luke Bumbalough | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JT Shumate * | 35 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| R. Dennis * | 35 | 9-17 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| S. Millner Jr. * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Ra'Heim Moss * | 32 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| D. Maddox Jr. * | 28 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Tyler Cochran | 19 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| E.J. Farmer | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| AJ Edu | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Andre Lorentsson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter