Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.1% | 35.9% | -3.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +8 (78-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Watson * | 38 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Timme * | 38 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 12 | - |
| N. Hickman * | 37 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Strawther * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | - |
| R. Bolton * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Smith | 26 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| H. Sallis | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| B. Gregg | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| E. Reid III | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Bowen * | 43 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| A. Ducas * | 41 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| M. Saxen * | 38 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| A. Mahaney * | 38 | 8-19 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 2 | - |
| L. Johnson * | 28 | 4-14 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| A. Marciulionis | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| H. Wessels | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Jefferson | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| L. Barrett | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Howell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter