Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +0.6 | ✗ (9.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -9 (67-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Moore * | 39 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | - |
| O. White * | 36 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| K. Samuel * | 31 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| J. Brown * | 30 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| T. Jones * | 29 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| G. Parham II | 16 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Jamar Franklin | 11 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| M. Kearing | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Harrell * | 34 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Tyrel Morgan * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Mason * | 26 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Drue Drinnon * | 23 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Nate Martin * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Nighael Ceaser | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Love | 24 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Davion Coleman | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Davion Sykes | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Davis | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter