Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.3% | 29.7% | -8.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.5% | 32.5% | -4.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers -3 (75-78). Ratings: 2022-23 season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Harrell * | 39 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 9-9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Tyrel Morgan * | 27 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Jordan Mason * | 23 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Davis * | 22 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Nate Martin * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Davion Coleman | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Nighael Ceaser | 27 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Love | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Davion Sykes | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Uduje * | 35 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Antonio Daye Jr. * | 29 | 7-17 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 5 | - |
| Wilfried Likayi * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jomaru Brown * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jimmy Nichols Jr. * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Linton Brown | 28 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| D.J. Basey | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Henry Abraham | 17 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Kylan Blackmon | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter