Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.4% | 45.6% | -1.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Efficiency | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -5 (62-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Williams * | 36 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| C. Eugene * | 35 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 7 | - |
| A. Muhammad * | 28 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 9 | - |
| C. Turner * | 27 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| K. Punter * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Phillips | 22 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| D. McNeill | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Fields | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| N. Tshimanga | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Ford Jr. * | 36 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 4-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| C. Fields * | 34 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| O. El-Sheikh * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 20 | - |
| M. Davis * | 26 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | - |
| I. Nelson * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - |
| A. Felts | 30 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Lual | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter