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Troy Trojans 67
@
Arkansas State Red Wolves 62
2023-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Troy Trojans Arkansas State Red Wolves Spread Result
Elo 73.1% 26.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 71.6% 28.4% - ✓
Margin 77.0% 23.0% -6.6 ✓ (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 63.7% 36.3% - ✓
Efficiency 81.4% 18.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 84.8% 15.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 84.8% 15.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 63.9% 36.1% - ✓

Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -5 (62-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Troy Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zay Williams * 36 1-6 0-1 5-8 9 2 1 0 2 7 11 -
Christyon Eugene * 35 6-13 1-5 3-3 5 3 1 0 5 16 7 -
Aamer Muhammad * 28 4-9 3-8 5-6 2 2 2 1 5 16 9 -
Christian Turner * 27 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 1 1 0 5 -
Kieffer Punter * 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Nelson Phillips 22 7-11 2-4 6-7 4 0 2 0 2 22 15 -
Darius McNeill 15 2-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Jackson Fields 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
Nate Tshimanga 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terrance Ford Jr. * 36 4-9 1-5 4-7 3 2 1 0 2 13 8 -
Caleb Fields * 34 1-4 0-1 2-2 0 4 2 0 2 4 4 -
Omar El-Sheikh * 31 4-8 0-0 8-9 11 0 3 1 3 16 20 -
Markise Davis * 26 5-15 2-6 3-4 5 0 1 0 2 15 4 -
Izaiyah Nelson * 19 1-1 0-0 2-2 8 0 1 2 2 4 12 -
Avery Felts 30 2-6 2-6 0-1 0 3 3 0 2 6 4 -
Julian Lual 24 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 1 -

* = starter