Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.9% | 71.1% | +5.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Efficiency | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +7 (82-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harrell * | 38 | 5-16 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| T. Morgan * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| N. Ceaser * | 23 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| B. Davis * | 21 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| N. Martin * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Mason | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| D. Coleman | 23 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| B. Love | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Sykes | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gregory * | 36 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| T. Harcum * | 35 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| CJ Huntley * | 26 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| J. Abson * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| X. Brown * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| T. Pearson | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| C. Mantis | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Boykin | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 10-10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| D. Walker | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter