Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | +1.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +4 (66-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Fields * | 37 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Terrance Ford Jr. * | 35 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Izaiyah Nelson * | 33 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Davis * | 33 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | - |
| O. El-Sheikh * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Julian Lual | 17 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Avery Felts | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Arnette | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Harrell * | 40 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Mason * | 34 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Tyrel Morgan * | 34 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Nate Martin * | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Davis * | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Nighael Ceaser | 30 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Davion Coleman | 23 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Davion Sykes | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Love | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter