Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.1% | 80.9% | +7.9 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +4 (68-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Harrell * | 38 | 6-14 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 6 | - |
| Tyrel Morgan * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Nate Martin * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Mason * | 23 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Davis * | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Nighael Ceaser | 29 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Davion Coleman | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Davion Sykes | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Love | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aamer Muhammad * | 35 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Christyon Eugene * | 31 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Zay Williams * | 29 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Christian Turner * | 23 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kieffer Punter * | 19 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Nelson Phillips | 22 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jackson Fields | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Darius McNeill | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Nate Tshimanga | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
* = starter