Model Predictions
| Model | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | +4.0 | ✓ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +16 (73-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Nichols Jr. * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Essam Mostafa * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Kylan Blackmon * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Linton Brown * | 15 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Henry Abraham * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Josh Uduje | 25 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Antonio Daye Jr. | 24 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jomaru Brown | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Wilfried Likayi | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D.J. Basey | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Marcus Saunders | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Felts * | 39 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Terrance Ford Jr. * | 38 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Omar El-Sheikh * | 36 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 10-15 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Caleb Fields * | 35 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Julian Lual * | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Izaiyah Nelson | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Markise Davis | 9 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Caleb London | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter