Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.1% | 67.9% | +4.1 | ✗ (7.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -3 (58-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Mason * | 33 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Drue Drinnon * | 32 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Mason Harrell * | 30 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Tyrel Morgan * | 24 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Nate Martin * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Nighael Ceaser | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Davis | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Davion Sykes | 16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Davion Coleman | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Love | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Fields * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Terrance Ford Jr. * | 35 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Avery Felts * | 29 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| O. El-Sheikh * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| A. Boutayeb * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Davis | 29 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Izaiyah Nelson | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| M. Farrington | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Julian Lual | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter