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Arkansas State Red Wolves 45
@
South Alabama Jaguars 63
2023-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas State Red Wolves South Alabama Jaguars Spread Result
Elo 51.8% 48.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 40.1% 59.9% - ✓
Margin 33.5% 66.5% +3.8 ✓ (14.2 off)
Efficiency 5.4% 94.6% - ✓

Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +18 (63-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Felts * 37 6-10 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 14 5 -
O. El-Sheikh * 36 6-13 0-0 6-7 13 0 1 1 2 18 18 -
C. Fields * 34 1-9 0-1 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 2 0 -
M. Davis * 19 1-5 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
I. Nelson * 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
T. Ford Jr. 30 1-7 1-2 1-2 0 1 1 0 2 4 -3 -
J. Lual 16 1-3 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 1 2 5 4 -
A. Boutayeb 11 0-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Farrington 10 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -

South Alabama Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. White * 38 5-10 3-7 2-2 4 0 4 0 0 15 13 -
T. Jones * 34 2-7 1-2 4-4 5 3 0 0 0 9 10 -
K. Samuel * 33 6-8 0-0 0-0 11 1 1 6 2 12 21 -
I. Moore * 30 8-14 0-1 4-5 4 2 1 0 0 20 13 -
G. Parham II * 29 2-5 1-3 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 5 5 -
J. Franklin 13 0-2 0-2 2-3 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
J. Brown 11 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -2 -
E. Ormiston 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Kearing 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Shirley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Margrave 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -

* = starter