Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.1% | 39.9% | -2.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -3 (52-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zay Williams | 36 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Christyon Eugene | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Kieffer Punter | 33 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Christian Turner | 24 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Aamer Muhammad | 23 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Darius McNeill | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Nelson Phillips | 16 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jackson Fields | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Nate Tshimanga | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Harrell | 37 | 6-18 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Drue Drinnon | 36 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Tyrel Morgan | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Nighael Ceaser | 29 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Nate Martin | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Mason | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Davion Coleman | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Davion Sykes | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter