Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.5% | 75.5% | +6.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles +4 (76-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Smith * | 37 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Isaiah Palermo * | 36 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Deantoni Gordon * | 33 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Jordan Jefferson * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Ante Beljan * | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Myron Gardner | 30 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Ethan Speaker | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| CJ White | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Nigel John | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Thelwell * | 38 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Mark Freeman * | 35 | 10-14 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Alex Gross * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jake Wolfe * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Kalil Thomas * | 9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Branden Maughmer | 32 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| LJ Bryan | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Chris Cole | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Trent Scott | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter