Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.8% | 29.2% | -4.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -6 (52-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kane Milling * | 39 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Elijah Pepper * | 37 | 5-18 | 3-10 | 7-7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 6 | - |
| Ty Johnson * | 34 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Ade Adebayo * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Niko Rocak * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Leo DeBruhl | 31 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Francesco Borra | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brantly Stevenson * | 37 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Chance Hunter * | 37 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Alimamy Koroma * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Camren Pierce * | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Julien Franklin | 25 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Nick Fleming | 24 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Bryan Penn-Johnson | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Hayden Jory | 9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter