Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.3% | 73.7% | +5.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +11 (73-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atin Wright * | 39 | 14-25 | 7-11 | 7-9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 42 | 21 | - |
| De'Sean Allen-Eikens * | 37 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Marcel Stevens * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Dearon Tucker * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Fidelis Okereke * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ethan Igbanugo | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Onyi Eyisi | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Cam Slaymaker | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Lamine Niang | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Johnnie Walter | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Arman Pezeshkian | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kane Milling * | 40 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Elijah Pepper * | 39 | 11-24 | 4-10 | 6-7 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 17 | - |
| Christian Anigwe * | 32 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Leo DeBruhl * | 32 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Ade Adebayo * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Niko Rocak | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Sam Manu | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sione Lose | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter