Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Irvine Anteaters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.8% | 96.2% | +17.8 | ✓ (16.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters +1 (55-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alimamy Koroma * | 34 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Brantly Stevenson * | 27 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Kobe Sanders * | 27 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Chance Hunter * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Julien Franklin * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Camren Pierce | 18 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Nick Fleming | 10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Bryan Penn-Johnson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Aidan Prukop | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Davis * | 34 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Dawson Baker * | 29 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Devin Tillis * | 27 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Pierre Crockrell II * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Bent Leuchten * | 18 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Dean Keeler | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Justin Hohn | 14 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| JC Butler | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Andre Henry | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ofure Ujadughele | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Akiva McBirney-Griffin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chazz Hutchison | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter