Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.1% | 82.9% | +8.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders +5 (83-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Sanders * | 39 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Alimamy Koroma * | 29 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Nick Fleming * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Brantly Stevenson * | 17 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Chance Hunter | 33 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Camren Pierce | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Bryan Penn-Johnson | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Cole Haller | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Hartwell II * | 39 | 8-12 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Flynn Cameron * | 39 | 10-20 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Kyle Owens * | 35 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Player #5091709 * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Wil Tattersall * | 28 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Luke Turner | 22 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Nate Pickens | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jhaylon Martinez | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Vladimer Salaridze | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter