Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.0% | 50.0% | -0.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.0% | 10.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -8 (54-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Pepper * | 37 | 5-18 | 2-8 | 8-11 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Robby Beasley III * | 33 | 7-14 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Christian Anigwe * | 31 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Ade Adebayo * | 25 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Ty Johnson * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kane Milling | 29 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Leo DeBruhl | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Sione Lose | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Niko Rocak | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Francesco Borra | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sam Manu | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atin Wright * | 38 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Dionte Bostick * | 37 | 7-16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| De'Sean Allen-Eikens * | 23 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dearon Tucker * | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Johnnie Walter * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Fidelis Okereke | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Ethan Igbanugo | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Onyi Eyisi | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Marcel Stevens | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter