Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.1% | 80.9% | +7.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +16 (70-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Patterson * | 32 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Callum McRae * | 31 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Gianni Hunt * | 29 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Quadry Adams * | 21 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| K. Chol Deng * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Akolda Mawein | 22 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Zach Chappell | 22 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Cameron Wilbon | 14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Teiano Hardee | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Hunter Marks | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Johnson II | 32 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Matt Johnson II * | 32 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Dalton Knecht * | 31 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Riley Abercrombie * | 27 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Theo Hughes * | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Brock Wisne | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Caleb Shaw | 14 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Langston Reynolds | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Connor Creech | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Juju Ramirez | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jamel Melvin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dawson Mohr | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Page | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bryce Kennedy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter