Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.1% | 79.9% | +7.6 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +1 (67-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Fuller * | 37 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Carson Towt * | 37 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Jalen Cone * | 37 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Trenton McLaughlin * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Nik Mains * | 26 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jack Wistrcill | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Liam Lloyd | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Oakland Fort | 6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aanen Moody * | 39 | 9-15 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Josh Bannan * | 37 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Whitney * | 35 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Lonnell Martin Jr. * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Dischon Thomas * | 26 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Josh Vazquez | 26 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Laolu Oke | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jaxon Nap | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter