Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.0% | 64.0% | +3.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +2 (69-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Johnson II | 38 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Matt Johnson II * | 38 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Dalton Knecht * | 35 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Riley Abercrombie * | 25 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Brock Wisne * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Theo Hughes | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Langston Reynolds | 13 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Connor Creech | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Caleb Shaw | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonnell Martin Jr. * | 39 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Josh Bannan * | 38 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Aanen Moody * | 38 | 10-17 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Whitney * | 31 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Dischon Thomas * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Jaxon Nap | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Josh Vazquez | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Laolu Oke | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter