Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.1% | 42.9% | -1.6 | ✗ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +10 (83-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Johnson II | 37 | 4-14 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Dalton Knecht * | 38 | 11-23 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 14 | - |
| Matt Johnson II * | 37 | 4-14 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Brock Wisne * | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Connor Creech * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Riley Abercrombie | 26 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Theo Hughes | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Caleb Shaw | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Langston Reynolds | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jamel Melvin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Fuller * | 37 | 10-17 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Jalen Cone * | 37 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Trenton McLaughlin * | 32 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Carson Towt * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Nik Mains * | 20 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jack Wistrcill | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Liam Lloyd | 12 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Oakland Fort | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter