Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.4% | 36.6% | -3.0 | ✓ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -15 (54-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Patterson * | 34 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Raequan Battle * | 33 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Sam Lecholat * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Darius Brown II * | 28 | 8-9 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Jubrile Belo * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Robert Ford III | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Caleb Fuller | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Great Osobor | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Nick Gazelas | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jed Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alex Germer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Luca Colceag | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Fuller * | 35 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Jalen Cone * | 34 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Nik Mains * | 31 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Carson Towt * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Liam Lloyd * | 19 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Trenton McLaughlin | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jack Wistrcill | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Oakland Fort | 10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Keith Haymon | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Diego Campisano | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter