Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | ✗ (22.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.3% | 7.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.3% | 7.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears -21 (56-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Brown II * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Tyler Patterson * | 26 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Sam Lecholat * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Jubrile Belo * | 22 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Raequan Battle * | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Great Osobor | 26 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Nick Gazelas | 23 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Robert Ford III | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jed Miller | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Alex Germer | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Luca Colceag | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Johnson II | 24 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dalton Knecht * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Matt Johnson II * | 24 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Riley Abercrombie * | 21 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Theo Hughes * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Caleb Shaw | 19 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Langston Reynolds | 17 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Brock Wisne | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Jamel Melvin | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Connor Creech | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Juju Ramirez | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Bryce Kennedy | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dawson Mohr | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Page | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter