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2023-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 72.3% 27.7% -
Bradley-Terry 57.9% 42.1% -
Margin 58.6% 41.4% -1.9 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 35.7% 64.3% -
Efficiency 50.5% 49.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.7% 64.3% -
Log Adjusted 35.7% 64.3% -

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +1 (75-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bannan * 44 7-18 1-4 5-7 6 2 2 0 4 20 8 -
L. Martin Jr. * 40 2-6 2-5 0-0 6 5 0 0 1 6 10 -
A. Moody * 40 4-10 3-7 3-4 1 1 2 0 2 14 6 -
D. Thomas * 29 5-9 0-2 3-4 4 1 0 1 0 13 10 -
B. Whitney * 19 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -3 -
J. Vazquez 33 5-8 3-5 4-4 2 0 5 2 0 17 18 -
M. Anderson 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
L. Oke 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
J. Nap 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Lloyd * 43 3-8 1-5 6-8 5 5 1 1 1 13 16 -
J. Cone * 42 8-15 4-6 6-6 8 1 1 0 2 26 19 -
N. Mains * 39 3-5 0-2 2-2 6 2 1 1 3 8 10 -
X. Fuller * 32 3-10 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 6 -2 -
C. Towt * 28 6-10 0-0 5-7 6 3 1 0 1 17 16 -
T. McLaughlin 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
O. Fort 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 -
J. Wistrcill 9 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
D. Campisano 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Haymon 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter