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2022-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Idaho State Bengals Spread Result
Elo 30.8% 69.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 57.1% 42.9% - ✗
Margin 47.9% 52.1% +0.5 ✓ (6.5 off)
Efficiency 47.8% 52.2% - ✓

Actual: Idaho State Bengals +7 (90-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dalton Knecht 42 7-19 3-8 12-15 8 5 1 0 3 29 21 -
Matt Johnson II 38 2-10 1-5 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 5 -1 -
Riley Abercrombie 36 3-7 1-5 3-4 5 0 0 1 0 10 9 -
Brock Wisne 22 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 6 8 -
Theo Hughes 20 3-3 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 0 1 6 11 -
Caleb Shaw 13 2-4 1-3 1-3 1 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
Connor Creech 12 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Jamel Melvin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Smellie 40 5-7 1-1 5-6 6 3 0 0 1 16 17 -
B. Mackenzie 37 7-13 2-6 7-7 4 1 4 0 0 23 19 -
D. Carr 28 0-4 0-4 6-6 3 1 1 0 3 6 4 -
M. Arington 26 1-5 0-1 8-8 2 3 2 1 1 10 12 -
Miguel Tomley 25 2-6 0-1 0-0 6 0 1 0 2 4 3 -
B. Parker 24 6-15 0-1 4-4 6 1 0 2 1 16 9 -
J. Nagle 23 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
K. Lee 15 3-5 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 6 3 -
AJ Burgin 5 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
Jordan Hansen 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter