Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Idaho State Bengals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | +4.9 | ✓ (21.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Idaho State Bengals +26 (79-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Cone | 32 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Xavier Fuller | 27 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Keith Haymon | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Nik Mains | 24 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Carson Towt | 24 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Trenton McLaughlin | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jack Wistrcill | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Oakland Fort | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Ezekiel Richards | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Liam Lloyd | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Diego Campisano | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Smellie | 29 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| B. Mackenzie | 26 | 10-14 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 17 | - |
| B. Parker | 25 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Miguel Tomley | 25 | 3-10 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| M. Arington | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Nagle | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Carr | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Lee | 13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Hansen | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Ed Chang | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Stapp | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| AJ Burgin | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter