Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | ✗ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Seattle Storm -5 (92-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 40 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Jackie Young | 38 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 36 | 13-22 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 23 | - |
| Kelsey Plum | 32 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| R. Williams | 25 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 40 | 14-22 | 6-8 | 8-10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 32 | - |
| Jewell Loyd | 36 | 9-21 | 3-6 | 8-9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 12 | - |
| S. Bird | 36 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Gabby Williams | 24 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Tina Charles | 23 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Ezi Magbegor | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Briann January | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter