Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.4% | 75.6% | +6.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +16 (79-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Cunningham | 37 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| B. Turner | 34 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - |
| Diamond DeShields | 32 | 7-22 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Shey Peddy | 26 | 3-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 21 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Kaela Davis | 17 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Jennie Simms | 16 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Yvonne Turner | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Reshanda Gray | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sam Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Young | 35 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Kelsey Plum | 35 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 8-8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| A'ja Wilson | 33 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 31 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 20 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 30 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| R. Williams | 16 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Iliana Rupert | 15 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Aisha Sheppard | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kierstan Bell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter