Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.6% | 69.4% | +4.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +16 (69-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Spurgin * | 38 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Knight III * | 37 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. Marin * | 31 | 4-14 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| M. Fausett * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| T. Jones * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aanen Moody | 29 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -2 | - |
| H. Butler | 19 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| N. Fleming | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Barnes | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Bishop * | 40 | 9-14 | 1-4 | 9-9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 12 | - |
| Jubrile Belo * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Amin Adamu * | 31 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Abdul Mohamed * | 28 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Tyler Patterson * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Raequan Battle | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Great Osobor | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Nick Gazelas | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sam Lecholat | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kellen Tynes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter