Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.5% | 62.5% | +2.8 | ✗ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos -15 (68-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Stevens * | 39 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| J. Allen-Tovar * | 34 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| David Roddy * | 33 | 14-20 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 24 | - |
| John Tonje * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Kendle Moore * | 29 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Dischon Thomas * | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Chandler Jacobs | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| James Moors | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Lake | 12 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Isaiah Rivera | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaelen House * | 39 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn Jr. * | 37 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Javonte Johnson * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Sebastian Forsling * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| KJ Jenkins | 27 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
* = starter