Model Predictions
| Model | Loyola Marymount Lions | Pepperdine Waves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pepperdine Waves +6 (61-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Loyola Marymount Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimora Sykes * | 40 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9 | -5.7 |
| Nicole Anderson * | 34 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 7 | -3.2 |
| Ariel Johnson * | 31 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | -3.1 |
| Alexis Mark * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Jasmine Jones * | 24 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -8.3 |
| Khari Clark | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +9.5 |
| Cassandra Gordon | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -5.8 |
| Aspyn Adams | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -4.3 |
| Haley Herdman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meaali'i Amosa * | 31 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 15 | +1.7 |
| Cheyenne Givens * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | -3.3 |
| Helena Friend * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +7.9 |
| Jane Nwaba * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | +3.0 |
| Becky Obinma * | 22 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | -9.2 |
| Jayla Ruffus-Milner | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | +9.8 |
| Kendyl Carson | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +10.4 |
| Eve Braslis | 8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Jayda Ruffus-Milner | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -7.0 |
* = starter