Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers -12 (55-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Howard * | 39 | 9-21 | 5-12 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 20 | - |
| Jazmine Massengill * | 36 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +14.2 |
| Jada Walker * | 28 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +21.0 |
| Olivia Owens * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | +3.1 |
| Treasure Hunt * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +3.0 |
| Emma King | 28 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | +4.3 |
| Nyah Leveretter | 27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | +1.3 |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aicha Coulibaly * | 36 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -8.4 |
| Honesty Scott-Grayson * | 36 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | -12.7 |
| Annie Hughes * | 35 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | -7.7 |
| Precious Johnson * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -18.8 |
| Sania Wells * | 18 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -19.0 |
| Jala Jordan | 16 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +6.2 |
| Mar'shaun Bostic | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Xaria Wiggins | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +5.9 |
| Amoura Graves | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter