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2022-04-04

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Kansas Jayhawks Spread Result
Elo 34.4% 65.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 34.9% 65.1% - โœ“
Margin 29.3% 70.7% +4.8 โœ“ (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 40.5% 59.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 19.4% 80.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 17.6% 82.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 17.4% 82.6% - โœ“

Actual: Kansas Jayhawks +3 (72-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Davis * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 2 0 0 3 15 26 -
Armando Bacot * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 15 2 1 1 3 15 31 -
Brady Manek * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 0 0 4 2 13 28 -
Leaky Black * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 2 4 -
Puff Johnson 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 11 18 -
Justin McKoy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ochai Agbaji * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 12 16 -
Jalen Wilson * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 0 15 22 -
D. Harris Jr. * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 3 1 4 2 5 -
Remy Martin 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 14 19 -
Mitch Lightfoot 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
K.J. Adams Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter