Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.9% | 83.1% | +8.8 | ✗ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -4 (77-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leaky Black * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Brady Manek * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| RJ Davis * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 28 | - |
| Armando Bacot * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 32 | - |
| Puff Johnson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Dontrez Styles | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Justin McKoy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 33 | - |
| W. Moore Jr. * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 23 | - |
| Jeremy Roach * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | - |
| AJ Griffin * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Mark Williams * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Trevor Keels | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Theo John | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
* = starter