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2022-03-25

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 48.2% 51.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 49.5% 50.5% - โœ—
Margin 40.9% 59.1% +2.0 โœ— (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% - โœ—
Efficiency 32.7% 67.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 32.9% 67.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 32.8% 67.2% - โœ—

Actual: UCLA Bruins -7 (66-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caleb Love * 40 11-24 6-13 2-2 3 4 0 0 1 30 12 -
Leaky Black * 39 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 -1 -
Brady Manek * 38 5-13 3-10 0-0 8 2 1 0 2 13 9 -
RJ Davis * 37 3-11 1-4 5-5 7 3 0 0 2 12 9 -
Armando Bacot * 31 6-10 0-0 2-4 15 2 0 1 2 14 20 -
Puff Johnson 10 1-2 0-1 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Dontrez Styles 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Myles Johnson 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 4 8 -
Jake Kyman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tyger Campbell * 39 6-9 0-1 3-4 2 6 1 1 3 15 13 -
Johnny Juzang * 39 5-13 2-4 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 14 6 -
Jules Bernard * 38 7-11 2-5 0-0 5 1 2 0 0 16 13 -
J. Jaquez Jr. * 38 5-18 0-3 0-2 5 2 1 0 0 10 0 -
Cody Riley * 25 2-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 1 4 4 -
Jaylen Clark 5 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 3 2 -
Peyton Watson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter