Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.9% | 59.1% | +2.0 | ✗ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins -7 (66-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Love * | 40 | 11-24 | 6-13 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 12 | - |
| L. Black * | 39 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. Manek * | 38 | 5-13 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| RJ Davis * | 37 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| A. Bacot * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 20 | - |
| P. Johnson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Styles | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Johnson | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Kyman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Campbell * | 39 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| J. Juzang * | 39 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| J. Bernard * | 38 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| J. Jaquez Jr. * | 38 | 5-18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | - |
| C. Riley * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Clark | 5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| P. Watson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter