Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.3% | 33.7% | -3.7 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -15 (53-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyler Edwards * | 38 | 5-16 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Jamal Shead * | 37 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Taze Moore * | 33 | 9-16 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| F. White Jr. * | 27 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Josh Carlton * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Reggie Chaney | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - |
| J'Wan Roberts | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| R. Walker Jr. | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Cockburn * | 38 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| T. Frazier * | 37 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Plummer * | 31 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| D. Williams * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Coleman Hawkins * | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| RJ Melendez | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Luke Goode | 19 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Curbelo | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| J. Grandison | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Benjamin Bosmans-Verdonk | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter